In football betting, you often hear about Over/Under bets, such as Over/Under 2.5, Over 2, Under 3, and even on sports programs like VTV, they mention odds like Under 3.5 or Over 3. These are Football Over/Under bets. So, what exactly is Football Over/Under? In this article, bet win tips will share in detail what Football Over/Under betting is all about.

What is Football Over/Under?

Football Over/Under, known as Over/Under (abbreviated as O/U) in English or commonly referred to as Over/Under betting, is a type of wager where the bookmaker sets a predicted number for an event in a football match. The player's task is to bet whether the actual outcome will be higher (Over) or lower (Under) than the bookmaker's set number.

Initially, Over/Under was used for betting on the number of goals scored in a match. Bookmakers typically set the betting line at more or less than 2.5 goals.

However, nowadays, Over/Under betting is used for various match stats like yellow cards, red cards, throw-ins, free kicks, corner kicks, and more. Let's explore together with Kubet to see the different types of bets in Football Over/Under!

Options in Football Over/Under Betting

Goal totals are the most common Over/Under bets as they are easy to track and don't require extensive statistical data collection. Additionally, there are variants such as total goals in the first half, total goals in the second half, and total goals in the entire match.

Yellow cards are also prevalent in Football Over/Under betting and are relatively straightforward to track. Wintips advises betting on best online bookmaker matches with fast-paced gameplay or heated derbies.

Corner kicks are crucial for teams strong in aerial battles. You can also statistically analyze total corner kicks from various websites. Therefore, betting on the total number of corner kicks in an Over/Under bet can quickly yield profits.

Offsides are a newer variation in Football Over/Under betting, although not as common as the aforementioned variations. We recommend betting on this type in matches involving teams strong in counter-attacks or teams that play with a high defensive line to actively catch opponents offside.

How to Bet and Calculate Over/Under Bets?

Over/Under bets are 50/50 propositions, meaning there are only two possible outcomes: Over or Under the bookmaker's set line, with a 50% chance of winning.

For example, consider a Women's National Team match between the US and Canada in the semi-finals. Kubet sets the Over/Under line for this match at 2.5 goals. The .5 in the odds is to prevent a draw in the bet. Imagine if Kubet set the line for this match at 2.0 goals; if the match ended 2-0 in favor of the US, both Over and Under bets would be lost, and Kubet would refund all bets.

Therefore, when the Over/Under line is set at 2.5 goals, betting on Over requires the match to end with three goals or more, regardless of which team wins. The winnings are calculated as your bet amount multiplied by the bookmaker's Over odds, for example, 0.99. For instance, if you bet $100 on Over, you would win $99 ($100 x 0.99).

If you bet on Under, you're expecting the match to end with two goals or fewer. For instance, in a 1-1 draw, if you multiply your bet amount by the Under odds, say 0.87, you'll determine your winnings.

Discover now: What is the new betting site? Criteria for evaluating a reputable, high-quality bookmaker

Applying Calculations when Playing Football Over/Under

Consider a Football Over/Under bet with a benchmark of 2.5 goals. Calculate the last four matches of each team involved in the current match (a total of eight matches).

If a match ends with more than 2.5 goals, add +0.5 goals. If both teams score in that match, add +0.75 goals (even if the match ends with fewer than 2.5 goals).

If a match ends with under 2.5 goals, subtract -0.5 goals. If one team doesn't score in that match (even if the score is over 2.5 goals), subtract -0.75 goals. Finally, sum up all these goals to arrive at a positive or negative figure.

For example:

The recent results of both teams are: 4-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-1, 3-0. Your calculation would be: +0.5 +0.75 +0.5 +0.75 +0.5 +0.75 -0.5 -0.75 -0.5 -0.75 +0.5 +0.75 +0.5 +0.75+ 0.5- 0.75 = + 3.5 goals.

Then, check the Over/Under line set by the bookmaker for this match and decide whether to bet Over or Under that line based on your calculated figure.

Predicting Football Over/Under based on Statistical Data

You can rely on statistical data from a tournament in a season to predict Football Over/Under bets effectively.

For each round, first, find the average number of goals scored in the tournament. Then divide that number by 2 to get the basic number for each team.

For instance, if the average is 2.5 goals per match in the Bundesliga, divide by 2 to get a basic number of 1.225 goals for each team.

For the home team, use the following criteria to determine their expected goals: (goals scored at home / home matches played) – the basic number for each team.

For example, if the home team has scored 30 goals in 15 matches, (30 / 15) -1.225 = 0.625. You estimate the home team will score, on average, 0.625 goals more than the basic number. 1.225 + 0.625 = 1.85 Goals.

Similarly, do this for the away team. (Goals scored away / away matches played) – the basic number. For instance, if 14 goals are scored away in 15 matches, 14 / 15 = 0.933-1.225 = -0.292. You estimate the away team will score, on average, 0.292 goals less than the basic number. 1.225-0.292 = 0.933.

Now, you have an estimated value for the number of goals in this match. By adding the expected home and away goals (1.85 + 0.933) = 2.783. Over the long term, you expect this value to be closer to the tournament's average. So, combine the tournament's average of 2.5 with the predicted match goals of 2.783 and divide by 2 = (2.5 + 2.783) / 2 = 2.6415.

For this match, you predict there will be 2.6415 goals. Compare it to the Over/Under line set by the bookmaker to make your betting decision.

Conclusion

As Football Over/Under betting odds aren't high, there's a high chance of winning, making it a potentially profitable market. To win Football Over/Under bets, check team statistics before betting. Review their goal-scoring and conceding trends, disciplinary records like cards and corners, etc.

Another intriguing variant of Over/Under betting is combining it with betting on the match winner. By predicting the number of goals in a match, you can gauge which team might have a stronger offense or defense, aiding their victory.

Good luck and success with Football Over/Under betting in football betting!